British scientists predicted the impact of "omicron" on mortality from COVID

Researchers modeled the impact of the omicron strain on the course of the pandemic. Under the optimistic scenario from December to April from covid-19in England, 24.7 thousand people may die, with a pessimistic one - almost 75 thousand.

Scientists at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine modeled the development of the CORONAVIRUS pandemic taking into account the impact of the omicron strain on it, according to their study report. With an optimistic approach, 24.7 thousand people may die during the winter in England, with a pessimistic approach - 74.8 thousand.

The authors of the study concluded that, if no additional measures are taken, the omicron strain can cause a new wave of virus circulation, which in turn will lead to more frequent hospitalizations than was the case last January.

The optimistic scenario assumes a high immune response among the citizens of the country and the effectiveness of booster vaccinations. Under these conditions, if no additional measures are taken, the number of hospital admissions may peak at 2,000 per day, and between December 1 and April 30, 175,000 patients may be hospitalized and 24,700 die, according to scientists.

The pessimistic scenario assumes a low immune response of the body and low efficiency of booster injections. In this case, the number of visits to doctors could be twice as high as last January, if additional actions are not taken. The number of hospitalizations will be 492 thousand and deaths - 74.8 thousand.

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